Population dimension in development planning

The population dimension has featured prominently in the reviews of Uganda’s five-year development plan which was launched on Monday April 19, 2010. In considering this issue let us remember that:

First, individuals and couples have a human right to determine freely the number of children they need, when to start having them and how to space them. This is in line with the 1994 Cairo conference on population and development and the recently concluded 43rd session of the UN commission on population and development. Authorities should provide information and facilities to enable individuals and couples full fill their rights voluntarily.

Second, according to Article II (iv) of the Convention on Genocide (1948), imposing measures intended to prevent births within the group [e.g. of poor people] constitutes an act of genocide.

Third, population growth in a country is largely a result of poverty and migration. Poor people as we have in Uganda tend to produce many children because mortality rate in that group is still high, poor parents depend on children in old age, and a subsistence economy requires more hands than a modern one. Children of poor people drop out of school early and get married in their teens and begin to produce children right away. Reducing poverty and keeping girls at school beyond primary education and empowering women reduce fertility rates without controversy.

Uganda is receiving more migrants than it is sending out contributing to rapid population growth. Unless the authorities rein in on this excess of in-migrants over out-migrants, population in Uganda will continue to grow.

Fourth, in societies emerging out of civil war and conflict or epidemic like AIDS as in Uganda, there is a tendency for the survivors to have more children to compensate for the loss suffered.

Fifth, Ugandans are quickly learning that if you want more constituencies and more members of Parliament or district councilors, your group must have many people to divide up into constituencies, meaning that the fertility rate must remain high or even increase.

Under the above conditions, Ugandans and those advising them need to consider different scenarios on how to address the population dimension rather than simply jump to increased use of contraception as the only way to bring about birth control in the country.