How Uganda can escape from least developed status

As Uganda transitions from structural adjustment (SAPs) to national planning development based on public-private partnership, a fresh non-ideological assessment of Uganda’s economy, society and ecology needs to be undertaken in a transparent and participatory manner. Ugandans of all backgrounds need to be fully engaged because they have a lot to offer. They need to be heard, not lectured to. Ugandans have a wealth of undocumented information and experience. They have witnessed many economic, social, cultural and ecological changes in their communities. For these reasons they have developed definitions which differ in some cases from the classic cases.

The definition of poverty, for example, goes beyond the classic income poverty. To the income and material poverty they have added absence of social support systems that represent a feeling of isolation and exclusion, helplessness, insecurity and deprivation of basic human rights together with a feeling of voicelessness to influence conditions around them. Therefore pro-poor policies, strategies and programs need to go beyond standard definition based on income alone.

Conversations with farmers on the challenges they face have emphasized drought and increasingly floods, food losses and low purchasing power. These concerns are confirmed in official reports.

Immigrants and population growth in Buganda

Uganda’s ‘explosive’ population growth has become the single most important development challenge to date. It has been reported in major newspapers in Uganda and at international conferences. Seminars have been conducted on the subject and more are planned. The population topic has attracted people from many disciplines, many of them with insufficient knowledge, experience or data to handle the subject professionally.

The causes of Uganda’s problems – poverty, unemployment, environmental degradation, crime, violence, food insecurity, urban congestion and slums, poor quality education and health care, lack of adequate savings and investments etc – are being blamed largely on Uganda’s high fertility rate. Development partners and experts are increasingly concerned about the future of Uganda if the fertility rate is not checked. One reporter in Observer magazine (Uganda) of August 8, 2010 suggested that “Uganda must start aggressively [using force] promoting and funding family planning services” reminiscent of what happened in India and China. Some readers have supported the suggestion without indicating how it should be done and on what groups.

NRM government must tackle youth unemployment

Rising youth unemployment including university graduates and the associated poverty and hunger are approaching dangerous and potentially explosive proportions. It is now clear that market forces and the invisible hand that have guided Uganda’s economy since 1987 are unable to generate enough jobs.

The Great Depression of the 1930s which was marked by massive unemployment, poverty and food insecurity contributed to the Second World War with deadly human consequences. John Maynard Keynes, the British economist, realized that in times of economic distress fiscal policy – government increased spending – should be used as a tool to manage the economy.

Until the Great Depression, the assumption had been that the economy was self-regulated and the invisible hand of the market forces left to its own devices would automatically raise economic output and employment to optimal levels. Keynes who disagreed with this approach argued that during times of economic distress, the drop in aggregate demand for goods and services could cause further economic contraction and raise unemployment which the invisible hand could not handle. He suggested that it was government responsibility to kick-start the economy by borrowing and spending on public infrastructure projects – roads, schools, hospitals etc – so that the funds spent would raise economic growth, create jobs and reduce unemployment.